Wednesday, October 23, 2013

Canadian Beef


This article explores the recent increase in cable and telephone bills for the people of Canada, and the reaction to the increased costs. Since the recession of 2008-2009 the price for cable services rose 20.4% and the price for telephone services rose 9.1%.  In recent months Prime Minister Stephen Harper and Finance Minister Jim Flaherty have voiced concern regarding the pricing and discussed potential government efforts to bring down the cost for consumers.

As the title would suggest, this article brings into question whether the grievances of the people are legitimate. The initial data presented shows that the increase in cost for cable and phones has increased greater than the consumer price index, which has grown 7.5% over the same timeframe. The timeframe being analyzed is July 2009-September 2013. This is significant in that July 2009 is right about the time that Canada came out of the recession of 2008-2009. Exhibit 1 shows the household demand shift during the recession. During the most recent recession demand fell 2% during the recession, and rose above pre-recession levels after the recovery. All of this data is presented by by Statistics Canada. Statistics Canada exists to provide statistical information and analysis about Canada’s economic and social structure and to promote sound statistical standards and practices (statcan.gc.ca). It is also important to note that food and shelter rose 7.8% and 6.8% respectively during this timeframe. These account for much greater proportions of the consumer price index and skew the average towards their mean.

The timeframe analyzed led me to question whether the price increase was the result of price-gouging by cable providers, or simply a market correction that occurred as a result of economic recovery. I figured that because the variable cost per customer is fairly low for cable and phone providers that they could have lowered prices during the recession scare to keep customers, and raised them as the economy grew beyond pre-recession levels. To shed some light on this the article presents data from other timeframes as well.

Since April of 2013 the annual inflation rate for cable prices has been <2%, and since August of 2012 for telephones. This is just slightly above the current inflation rates in Canada, as seen in exhibit 2. These numbers would suggest that the prices for cable and telephones are now stable, and further increases have not recently occurred.

The article concludes by presenting the increase for energy products and gasoline over the same period, 25.8% and 33.5% respectively. I believe that this is done to show that while cable and phone prices have risen they aren’t completely out of control.

Further research outside of the article presented a possible ulterior motive for the recent slowing of price increases. Canada had been mulling regulations on cable providers, and recently passed legislation forcing cable companies to unbundle their channels. Hopefully, we will see this option in the U.S. soon.

  -Mark Jacoby


 



 
 

Recent Inflation Rates for Canada

Year
jan
feb
mar
apr
may
jun
jul
aug
sep
oct
nov
dec
ann
2013
0.5%
1.2%
1%
0.4%
0.7%
1.2%
1.3%
1.1%
1.1%
2012
2.5%
2.6%
1.9%
2%
1.2%
1.5%
1.3%
1.2%
1.2%
1.2%
0.8%
0.8%
1.5%
2011
2.3%
2.2%
3.3%
3.3%
3.7%
3.1%
2.7%
3.1%
3.2%
2.9%
2.9%
2.3%
2.9%
2010
1.9%
1.6%
1.4%
1.8%
1.4%
1%
1.8%
1.7%
1.9%
2.4%
2%
2.4%
1.8%
2009
1.1%
1.4%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
-0.3%
-0.9%
-0.8%
-0.9%
0.1%
1%
1.3%
0.3%


 

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