Monday, October 21, 2013

Win Big or Go Home!

 
 Win Big or Go Home!

Wouldn’t you like to know how often players actually win while gambling? Well, now you can! According the Wall Street Journal (The Real Odds on Gambling, Oct 12, 2013) new data posted by BWIN, a European online gambling website was published by research affiliates from Harvard Medical School. The data showed that gamblers won 30% of the time, but only won 11% of the time if they continued to bet, most winners pocketing less than $150. 2.8% of the big losers accounted for half of the casino’s take, and 10% account for 80% of casino’s take. According to information on Wikipedia, (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Casino#Gambling_in_casinos) Casino’s In the United States are making more money than in any other country.  (Data is from 2009 and the numbers for 2010 and 2011 are projected.)  


 

In response to the BWIN data, two researchers from University of Connecticut and University of Michigan conducted a statistical study that compared the date from BWIN to data they gathered from studying Northwest Native American Casinos. Out of the top 10% of gamblers, 95% ended up losing more than $5,000. The chart below shows you the ratio of losers versus winners with two different sets of data; NW Native American Casino’s and BWIN. The vertical axis is depicted in percentages.


 
 
In games such as poker, where skill is a valuable asset rather than just playing the odds with luck, the skilled players won more than the unskilled players. The graph below shows the relationship between the two groups.
 
 
Wikipedia defines gambling as “the wagering of money or something of material value (referred to as "the stakes") on an event with an uncertain outcome with the primary intent of winning additional money and/or material goods. “ (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambling) In this data the uncertainty of the outcome is given, The Wall Street Journal has published that the chances of a player winning big while gambling is slim to none, 3% to be exact.
 
 
It’s a widely known fact that “the house always wins” – so, with all the statistics backing it up, why do Americans go and give away their hard earned money to the casinos for a momentary adrenaline rush? This is because the casinos have mastered the art of temptation, for example advertising a big win every hour, or giving out free drinks. Statistics show, that the more you play, the more you lose. 10% of the customers that had the highest wins played the least. For the rest of the 90%, once they have lost money, they are more motivated to continue to play to recover their losses, but recovering their losses is rare, and customers end up losing more money.  “Unless they cheat, about the only way gamblers can win at games of chance is to get lucky and then stop gambling.” (WSJ sat/sun,Oct 12-13, 2013 issue, p C3) To conclude, unless you are a skilled poker player, I recommend that you keep your money in your pocket.
 
Resources:
WSJ sat/sun,Oct 12-13, 2013 issue, p C3

 


 

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